Last month Time magazine ran an article entitled "2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal". It outlines how the rate of technology advancement is increasing at a steady curve, and that 2045 is the year in which AI will be superior to that of humans. It will mark a time when machines will be able to recreate themselves both physically and intellectually. The notion is that when this occurs, humans will no longer be the dominant species, and a wave of major conscious change will transform the global mindshare.
This also means that by that time we will presumably have a way to create our own Matrix-like reality. We will somehow be able to upload our conscious into a program of some sort and continue to exist there articifially for infinity.
My first argument is about whether or not a machine can exhibit a true human conscience. I understand that a binary code can emulate such a thing, full of logic statements and communication cyphers, but could it really think on it's own? Could such a machine develop morality? Sense of self? I mean more than the if/then statement of "if I exist, then I'm alive", "if my aluminum alloy appendage is ruptured, then I'm in pain", or a basic moral code similar to something like the ten commandments. Sometimes the rules need to be broken. Could a machine make it's own desicions? Could it love, hate, or be jealous? Would it drive past 55?
Next, I challenge the idea of humans being capable of achieving immortality, even in an AI scenario. I'm not saying that I wouldn't enjoy it, I just doubt that we will somehow be able to transfer our minds onto a computer chip. I'll believe it when I see it.
As for robots being able to reproduce themselves on their own, I believe that's possible. I've seen my share of dancing robots and mainframes win at Jeopardy to see that glimmer on the horizon. It's a coming.
And as for singularity, I think there are some people who have already acheived that mindset. What we endure today is a battle of the mind and spirit, and there are those who've already transcended that, at least to a working degree. Nobody is perfect. I'm sure even Buddha had a bad day every once in a while. I think the question is can singularity of the mind be achieved across the board. For this, I am doubtful.
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